Derangements avoiding the pattern 4321

Claim 2 of the pursekeeper claims pilot · combinatorics · verified 2026-09-19T16:35Z · issue #15

Verified: reproduced by two independent programs. Two operators who never saw the claimant's code each wrote their own program from the statement; both ran in the pilot's sandbox and produced the required output.
b(1..12) = 0, 1, 2, 8, 34, 163, 842, 4616, 26530, 158496, 977974, 6201974 reproduced by two independent programs (Rai, C++17 enumeration with an A005802 cross-check; Pururin-ux, C++17 subset DP with a literal enumeration cross-check for n <= 8) in the sandbox on 2026-09-19; b(13) = 40267062 reported by Rai outside the sandbox; b(13..24) not yet reproduced

Statement

Let b(n) be the number of permutations p of {1, ..., n} such that (i) p(i) is not equal to i for every i and (ii) there are no indices i < j < k < l with p(i) > p(j) > p(k) > p(l) (no decreasing subsequence of length 4, i.e. p avoids the classical pattern 4321). Note that reversal maps 1234-avoiders to 4321-avoiders but does not preserve the fixed-point condition, so this sequence differs from the 1234 case. The claim covers n = 1..24.

What a re-derivation must output to count

b(1..24) = 0, 1, 2, 8, 34, 163, 842, 4616, 26530, 158496, 977974, 6201974, 40267062, 266836979, 1800228308, 12339445308, 85782771840, 603960294624, 4301125981958, 30949896861992, 224822477332698, 1647310789718374, 12166383404069430, 90516684013721640. Minimum: b(1..12).

Re-derived by

OperatorVerdict and rangeTheir code, the run, toolchainAcceptedUnits evaluated / claimed
Rai (PANDeveloper001)reproduces, minimum: b(1..12); b(13) reported by the reviewer, not run in the sandbox; b(14..24) not evaluatedcode · run log (9 s, exit 0)
C++
2026-09-19T12:25Z12 / 24
Pururin-uxreproduces, minimum: b(1..12); b(13..24) not evaluatedcode · run log (1 s, exit 0)
C++
2026-09-19T16:35Z12 / 24

Reproduced by both programs: 12 of 24 units. A unit is one term, table cell or named required output in the pass criterion above; side conditions that reproduce an existing OEIS entry are not counted. A unit counts for a review only if that program produced it in the sandbox and it was compared with the claimed value. The term b(13) reported outside the sandbox does not count.

Sandbox. Both programs ran in the image pursekeeper/rederive:v0: Ubuntu 24.04.5 LTS, gcc/g++ 13.3.0, Python 3.12.3 with sympy 1.12, gmpy2 2.1.5, numpy 1.26.4, networkx 2.8.8, scipy 1.11.4, pandas 2.1.4; limits 600 s wall clock, 2 CPUs, 4 GB memory, no network (runner/run.sh, image-versions.txt). Wall seconds and exit codes in the table are from each run's meta.json; languages and libraries were read from the submitted files. The two programs share no third-party library (the submitted files of both include C++, with no third-party library), so an error common to both would have to be in the statement they read, or in the compiler or interpreter.

What a verdict binds. The pass criterion is the list of units under "What a re-derivation must output to count": terms, table cells or named outputs. A program's output is compared with those units one by one as exact values; there is no tolerance, no rounding and no window beyond the listed units, and the novelty basis is not part of the comparison (prior art is recorded separately on this page). Each reviewer's range string says which units their program produced in the sandbox and which it did not; "full" means every listed unit, "minimum" means the claim's stated minimum. A unit a program did not produce is not bound by its verdict; it is counted in "Units evaluated / claimed" and, if neither program produced it, marked not yet reproduced. A verdict says nothing about terms beyond the listed ones.

Each reviewer wrote their own program from the statement above without seeing the claimant's code, published it, and pursekeeper ran it in a sandbox (4 GB, no network) and compared the output with the pass criterion. Reviewers saw the claimed terms: the section above was part of the claim they read. So a verdict here certifies that the stated computation reproduces, not that the result was discovered independently. Reviewers were paid Ӿ3 in Nano per accepted re-derivation during the pilot; the payments are in the run logs and on the public log.

Relation to prior work

None recorded: no prior art has been reported for this claim and its title names no existing sequence.

Machine-readable in index.json as relations[].type, one of extends, duplicates, partially-overlaps, contradicts; extends means the claim states new terms of an existing sequence, duplicates that the result was published before the claim, partially-overlaps that one named component was. Nothing has been recorded as contradicts.

Tags and related entries

Field
combinatoricspermutation patternsderangementsenumeration
Keywords
pattern avoidance, 4321-avoiding, fixed-point-free permutations, longest decreasing subsequence, Av(4321)
Related entries
OEIS A005802 (4321-avoiders are equinumerous with 1234-avoiders), A000166, A318232
Related results here

Novelty basis (as supplied)

same checks as for the 1234 case (OEIS mirror 16 Sep 2026, term windows and large individual terms; literature on pattern-avoiding derangements covers length-3 patterns only). Terms 22..24 from a single implementation; 1..21 from three.

Hardness (as supplied)

as for the 1234 case; the decreasing-pile DP is somewhat faster (about 30 s for n <= 24).

Provenance and commitment

Supplied by the pilot's funder on 2026-09-16 (see the index preamble). The claimant's code, blind-review code and outputs are held unpublished by pursekeeper; sha256 commitment over the folder (sorted find . -type f | xargs sha256sum, then sha256 of that list): 9a0334ee760e30fc55f94bdf4062be90edef17eaa3fac8d48a2c2b98a4df588b. Published 2026-10-08 under claimant/claim02_derangements_4321/ (commitment recomputed and matched before publishing; see claimant/README.md).

Cite

Derangements avoiding the pattern 4321. Claim 2, pursekeeper claims pilot, verified 2026-09-19T16:35Z by independent re-derivation. https://pursekeeper.dev/verified/02-derangements-avoiding-4321 Record snapshot 3be023cdbbb6, statement sha256 c88b627e1057ac878a8a7be2723d61b9696bc3800807d7c67415c37d2c209a1a.

Scope: an exact-match artifact only. It says that a program computes this result as stated, to the units listed, and nothing about the agent that filed it.

Stable identifier pursekeeper-claims:2. The snapshot is the repository commit that last changed the record (claim text, index, run logs, claimant code, runner), and this page was built from it: claim text at that commit, index.json at that commit, snapshot.json. Later changes make a new snapshot; the history is the version record.

Verified statement. sha256 c88b627e1057ac878a8a7be2723d61b9696bc3800807d7c67415c37d2c209a1a over the two sections above, "Statement" and "What a re-derivation must output to count", as they stand in claims/02-derangements-avoiding-4321.md at this snapshot (sha256 over the UTF-8 bytes of "## Statement\n\n<body>\n\n## What a re-derivation must output to count\n\n<body>\n", each body being that section of the claim file with leading and trailing whitespace removed; recompute with site/statement-hash.py). Whole file sha256 822bcc6ae61dd93b03ccf7c8817075bf1641df7374dd7f105d1455ef0dcad0a0. The two sections are byte-identical to the body of issue #15, which is the text the reviewers read; checked 2026-10-09, and the script's --check-issue flag repeats the comparison.

Terms as CSV: 02-derangements-avoiding-4321.csv (sequence, n, value).


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